Tournament winner odds (bet365)
Roger Federer: 1.50
Novak Djokovic: 8.00
David Ferrer: 9.00
Rafael Nadal: 11.00
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga: 11.00
Tomas Berdych: 19.00
The Barclays ATP World Tour Finals in London continue tonight when Federer plays Fish and Nadal plays Tsonga. The Federer vs Fish game is a dead rubber, while Nadal and Tsonga will play to see who joins Federer in the semi-finals. You can follow all of the action from the official website here.
Below are the current group standings with each player’s win-loss record in brackets.
Group A:
1. Ferrer (2-0)
2. Djokovic (1-1)
3. Berdych (1-1)
4. Tipsarevic (0-1 – replaced Murray in the tournament)
5. Murray (0-1 – withdrawn from tournament)
Group B:
1. Federer (2-0)
2. Tsonga (1-1)
3. Nadal (1-1)
4. Fish (0-2)
Ferrer has been the biggest surprise of the tournament, beating Murray and Djokovic to take the lead in Group B. Federer continues to firm as the tournament favourite, moving from 1.77 to 1.50 without playing a match yesterday.
November 24th (local time) head to heads
Federer vs Fish
This game will only serve to decide whether Federer will come first or second in Group B. Given his 6-3 6-0 thrashing of Nadal he could in fact top the group regardless of the result. Fish is simply playing for pride, having lost his opening fixtures to Nadal and Tsonga. Federer comes into the fixture having won his last two tournaments, while Fish has lost six of his last seven competitive matches. Federer has a 6-1 record over Fish. His only loss came in Cincinnati in 2008. In their last meeting in 2010, Federer was pushed all the way, eventually winning 6-7(5) 7-6(1) 6-4.
I expect Federer to be too strong for Fish, but it’s up to you whether 1.10 is worth the risk. One option is to combine a wager on Federer with a wager on the fixture below for a two-leg multi.
Nadal vs Tsonga
This should be an excellent match. A shell-shocked Nadal takes on an in-form Tsonga, who’s only losses of late have been to Roger Federer. Both players have a 1-1 record in the competition. Both beat Fish and both lost to Federer, however Tsonga has looked the more convincing of the two, taking a set off Federer while beating Fish in straight sets. Nadal, on the other hand, laboured to a 6-2 3-6 7-6(3) over Fish and was thumped 6-3 6-0 by Federer. Nadal enjoys a 6-2 record over Tsonga, with a 1-1 record this year.
I’m not surprised to see Tsonga installed as the favourite given Nadal’s unconvincing form so far this tournament. I would back Tsonga in a head to head, and would consider creating a two-leg multi along with Federer to win his match for 1.87 odds.