For those who enjoy high odds wagering, Sportsbet is offering exacta and quinella markets for the first and second try scorers in the State of Origin.
An exacta wager is a bet on the first and second try scorers in correct order. A quinella wager is a bet on the first two try scorers in either order. Note that the first and second try scorers could be the same person.
To view the markets, go to the Sportsbet State of Origin page, click on the upcoming fixture, then scroll down and expand the ‘Player Markets’ tab.
To provide a comparison of the risk/reward level of exact and quinella markets compared to the first try scorer market, the lowest try scorer odds are 10.00 (highest 56.00), while the lowest quinella odds are 41.00 (highest 376.00) and the lowest exacta odds are 81.00 (highest 376.00).
Recent History
Below are the latest try scorers in the State of Origin. The colour coding denotes the team and the player starting positions are shown in brackets.
2017
Game 1 – Brisbane
(6′) James Maloney (FE)
(35′) Corey Oates (W)
(40′) Mitchell Pearce (HB)
(52′) James Tedesco (FB)
(55′) Andrew Fifita (PR)
(60′) Jarryd Hayne (C)
(6′) James Maloney (FE)
(35′) Corey Oates (W)
(40′) Mitchell Pearce (HB)
(52′) James Tedesco (FB)
(55′) Andrew Fifita (PR)
(60′) Jarryd Hayne (C)
2016
Game 3 – Sydney
(5′) Greg Inglis (C)
(22′) Tyson Frizell (LK)
(42′) Andrew Fifita (IC)
(52′) Gavin Cooper (IC)
(75′) Darius Boyd (FB)
(79′) Michael Jennings (C)
Game 2 – Brisbane
(32′) Dane Gagai (W)
(47′) Dane Gagai (W)
(56′) Tyson Frizell (SR)
(63′) Dane Gagai (W)
(67′) James Maloney (FE)
(73′) Corey Oates (W)
Game 1 – Sydney
(26′) Boyd Cordner (SR)
(37′) Dane Gagai (W)
(5′) Greg Inglis (C)
(22′) Tyson Frizell (LK)
(42′) Andrew Fifita (IC)
(52′) Gavin Cooper (IC)
(75′) Darius Boyd (FB)
(79′) Michael Jennings (C)
(32′) Dane Gagai (W)
(47′) Dane Gagai (W)
(56′) Tyson Frizell (SR)
(63′) Dane Gagai (W)
(67′) James Maloney (FE)
(73′) Corey Oates (W)
(26′) Boyd Cordner (SR)
(37′) Dane Gagai (W)
2015
Game 3 – Brisbane
(15′) Gagai (W)
(27′) Papalii (IC)
(35′) Inglis (FB)
(42′) Gillett (IC)
(50′) Morgan (IC)
(57′) Boyd (W)
(61′) Jennings (C)
(68′) Chambers (W)
(78′) Guerra (SR)
Game 2 – Melbourne
(4′) Jennings (C)
(11′) M Scott (PR)
(27′) J Morris (C)
(33′) Inglis (C)
(48′) Gillett (IC)
(62′) Woods (PR)
(71′) Dugan (FB)
Game 1 – Sydney
(14′) Cronk (HB)
(21′) J Morris (C)
(27′) B Scott (SR)
(55′) Chambers (W)
(15′) Gagai (W)
(27′) Papalii (IC)
(35′) Inglis (FB)
(42′) Gillett (IC)
(50′) Morgan (IC)
(57′) Boyd (W)
(61′) Jennings (C)
(68′) Chambers (W)
(78′) Guerra (SR)
(4′) Jennings (C)
(11′) M Scott (PR)
(27′) J Morris (C)
(33′) Inglis (C)
(48′) Gillett (IC)
(62′) Woods (PR)
(71′) Dugan (FB)
(14′) Cronk (HB)
(21′) J Morris (C)
(27′) B Scott (SR)
(55′) Chambers (W)
2014
Game 3 – Brisbane
(38′) Smith (HK)
(44′) Slater (FB)
(61′) Dugan (C)
(72′) Boyd (W)
(74′) Guerra (IC)
(78′) Cronk (HB)
Game 2 – Sydney
(71′) Hodkinson (HB)
Game 1 – Brisbane
(5′) Boyd (W)
(19′) B Morris (W)
(33′) Hayne (FB)
(57′) Boyd (W)
(38′) Smith (HK)
(44′) Slater (FB)
(61′) Dugan (C)
(72′) Boyd (W)
(74′) Guerra (IC)
(78′) Cronk (HB)
(71′) Hodkinson (HB)
(5′) Boyd (W)
(19′) B Morris (W)
(33′) Hayne (FB)
(57′) Boyd (W)
Analysis
In terms of total tries during this period, 27.5% were by wingers, however wingers made up 41.2% of the first and second try scorers. Of the 14 tries scored by wingers since 2014, 13 were by Queenslanders, so combinations involving QLD wingers Valentine Holmes and Dane Gagai are worth a look.
For NSW the centres have scored 30.4% of their tries since 2014 and 33.3% of the first or second tries. The NSW centres for Game 2 are Josh Dugan and Jarryd Hayne.
For this reason combinations involving Valentine Holmes, Dane Gagai, Josh Dugan and Jarryd Hayne are worth consideration. One of the highest value combinations involving these four players for the exacta is 1st Valentine Holmes / 2nd Jarryd Hayne at 226.00 with quinella odds of 91.00.
View the Sportsbet State of Origin markets
If you haven’t done so already, be sure to check out our State of Origin Game 2 preview and betting tips. The preview also shows the current bookmaker promotions for the State of Origin (excl. NSW).