The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 2 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.
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Bournemouth vs. Watford |
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Back Bournemouth in the Draw No Bet market at 1.49 (Marathon Bet)
All four previous EPL fixtures between the two ended in draws, but generally Bournemouth have been strong at home while Watford have struggled away from Vicarage Road. Over the last 12 months Bournemouth have gone 7-2-2 as the home favourite while Watford have gone 3-2-13 on the road. Bournemouth enjoyed the majority of possession against West Brom at The Hawthorns last week, but still lost 1-0. Last season the best time to back Bournemouth was on the back of a loss (6-3-7 compared to 2-6-4 on the back of a win).
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Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace |
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Back over 2.5 goals at 1.58 (Unibet)
Both sides conceded 3 goals against unheralded opponents last week. Liverpool’s defence was simply atrocious while at Crystal Palace, new manager Frank de Boer’s insistence on a 3-4-3 formation doesn’t seem to fit the squad available to him. Palace are sorely missing the services of centre-back Mamadou Sakho, who was a highly successful loan signing from Liverpool last season. Another poor defensive showing may seem them reconsider Liverpool’s £30m asking price. Since being promoted back into the EPL, all 8 fixtures between Crystal Palace and Liverpool have gone over 2.5 goals.
Back both teams to score at 1.90 (bet365)
On the same note, all 8 previous fixtures between the two saw both sides find the back of the net. As bad as Palace were going forward last week, it’s worth remembering that they picked up more points on the road than at home last season and have won their last three visits to Anfield.
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Leicester City vs. Brighton and Hove Albion |
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Back Leicester in the head-to-head at 1.781 (Pinnacle)
Despite their disappointing campaign last season, Leicester went 10-4-5 at home and 8-3-2 as the home favourite. They were poor away from home in the Betting Value Index, but backing them at home week in week out would have yielded a profit. Brighton are still finding their way with a number of new faces in the squad and with this being their first EPL campaign.
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Stoke City vs. Arsenal |
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Back Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.892 (Pinnacle)
In the Betting Value Index last season, Stoke City proved to be unbackable as the home underdog, recording the biggest loss of money of any side in that scenario, while Arsenal rewarded punters who backed them as the favourite, both home and away. Much of Stoke City’s “unbackability” at home is the fact that they used to be a tough place to visit, which resulted in lower bookmaker odds. In recent seasons however they have put up little fight against top six sides. As the home underdog Stoke City are winless over the last 12 months while Arsenal have gone 9-2-3 as the away favourite. Arsenal the opposite of Liverpool. Liverpool went unbeaten against other teams in the top seven last season, but lost 6 games against sides ranked 8th or below. Arsenal, meanwhile lost 5 away games to top seven sides, but only lost twice on the road to teams ranked 8th or below. In their two EPL meetings last season Arsenal beat Stoke 3-1 at home and 4-1 away.