The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 13 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.
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West Ham vs. Leicester City |
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Back Leicester City +0.5 (double chance) at 1.53 (Betfair)
David Moyes’ reign at West Ham got off to an inglorious start with a 2-0 defeat at Watford. West Ham fans on the whole haven’t been happy by his appointment so they may turn on Moyes quickly if West Ham don’t get off to a good start in what will be his first home game. Barring their 2-0 defeat to high-flying Man City, Leicester City have been doing pretty well since parting ways with manager Craig Shakespeare. They’ve won their last two visits to West Ham and have been installed as marginal favourites by most bookmakers, which is notable given West Ham are 1-1-7 as the home underdog over the last 12 months. My first instinct was to back Leicester City in the head-to-head at 2.75 (William Hill), however given their recent trend of drawing away from home (1 win and 3 draws in their last four), I will take Leicester City +0.5 instead.
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Crystal Palace vs. Stoke City |
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Back both teams to score at 1.90 (bet365)
Crystal Palace have picked up in form since Roy Hodgson’s appointment but they have still failed to keep a clean sheet in the EPL this season. The good news is their goal scoring drought has come to an end, with 2 goals scored in each of their last three home games. Stoke City have been scoring regularly while conceding regularly themselves. Their last two fixtures resulted in 2-2 draws and 6 of Stoke City’s last 8 games saw both teams score. Historically, Crystal Palace vs. Stoke City games have been plenty of goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of their last 8 meetings, including Stoke City’s last three visits to Selhurst Park
Back the 2-2 correct score at 17.00 (bet365)
Back the 2-1 correct score at 9.50 (bet365)
Crystal Palace’s last three home games have resulted 2-1, 2-2 and 2-2. Stoke City’s last two games resulted in 2-2 draws and in 6 of their last 8 games, one side scored exactly 2 goals. The 2-1 scoreline at 9.50 and the 1-2 scoreline at 15.00 are also worth a look given 4 of the last 8 meetings between the two were settled by 2-1 scorelines (3 to Palace, 1 to Stoke).
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Swansea vs. Bournemouth |
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Back Bournemouth in the head-to-head at 2.85 (William Hill)
Bournemouth bring strong form into this fixture, having won 3 of their last 4, including their last two away games. Last week they thrashed Huddersfield 4-0, with the side benefiting from striker Callum Wilson’s return from an ACL injury. Swansea on the other hand have lost 6 of their last 7, with only West Brom currently in worse form than themselves. Bournemouth have won their last three games against Swansea, including a 3-0 away win last season, so they’re good value at 2.85 with William Hill (low margin bookmaker Pinnacle is only offering 2.75).
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Tottenham vs. West Brom |
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Back the 1-0 correct score at 7.00 (bet365)
Back the 1-1 correct score at 12.00 (bet365)
West Brom begin life without Tony Pulis and will be managed by former assistant coach Gary Megson until a replacement is found. It’s amazing how often teams lift after a coach departs, even with just a caretaker manager, which is why I’m tipping West Brom to be more competitive than expected (Tottenham are as short as 1.20 with some bookmakers). Tottenham secured a vital win at Borussia Dortmund mid-week but they’ve sometimes struggled to regain their intensity in the following fixture against a less illustrious opponent. Earlier in the month Tottenham beat Real Madrid 3-1 mid-week then followed it up with a narrow 1-0 win over Crystal Palace, which is why I’m backing a similar scoreline this weekend. Tottenham also beat Bournemouth by this scoreline in October. I’m throwing in the 1-1 draw because 4 of the last 8 and 3 of the last 4 meetings between the two sides resulted in this scoreline.
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Huddersfield vs. Manchester City |
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Back Man City -1.5 at 1.55 (Mad Bookie)
While Huddersfield have been good at home this campaign and did upset Man Utd 2-1 in October, Man City are a class above the rest of the league at the moment and are unlikely to slip up. Also, Huddersfield limp into this fixture on the back of a 4-0 defeat to Bournemouth. All 5 of Huddersfield’s EPL defeats this season have been by 2 goals or more, with 3 coming by 3+ goal margins. Man City bring a 10-game EPL winning streak and a 7-game EPL winning streak away from home into this clash. Eight of their 11 EPL wins this campaign have been by 2+ goal margins.