The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 23 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.
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Huddersfield vs. West Ham |
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Back the draw at 3.15 (Unibet)
Huddersfield are a tough nut to crack at home, with only Chelsea, Manchester City and Tottenham picking up wins at this venue. They’ve won 50% and drawn 50% of their remaining home fixtures, which suggests Huddersfield in the head-to-head and the draw are both good value. The reason I’m opting for the latter is because they’re in a minor lull at the moment, with three draws and a defeat in their last four fixtures. West Ham have picked up under David Moyes and they’ve now gone three away fixtures without defeat, drawing two of them. You can make a case for both sides, but with Huddersfield’s slight downturn in form and West Ham’s current injury list, I’m happy to back the draw. If you had backed $1 on the draw for every Huddersfield home fixture this season you would be up $2.15, while if you had placed $1 on the draw in every West Ham away fixture over the last 12 months you would be up $8.48.
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Crystal Palace vs. Burnley |
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Back the draw at 3.34 (Pinnacle)
With the likes of Andros Townsend and Jason Puncheon out for Crystal Palace, I’ve been torn between backing Burnley +0.5 at 1.90 (Pinnacle) and taking the draw. I’ve opted for the latter because Palace managed to win away at Southampton without the duo and they’ve only lost 1 of their last 11 games, drawing 6 of them. While Burnley are in the giddy position of 7th on the table, they haven’t won in their last 5 games and they’ve drawn their last 3 away fixtures. The reason I’m not taking Palace in the head-to-head is because since Week 1, Leicester City are the only team outside the top six to beat Burnley. If you had wagered $1 on the draw in each of Burnley’s away games over the last 12 months you would be up $14.63.
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Chelsea vs. Leicester City |
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Back over 2.5 goals at 1.602 (Pinnacle)
Leicester City have been consistently involved in high scoring games coming into this fixture, with all 7 of their previous EPL games going over 2.5 goals. Five of the last 7 clashes between Chelsea and Leicester have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
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Tottenham vs. Everton |
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Back under 2.5 goals at 2.25 (Pinnacle)
Sam Allardyce tries to make his side a tough nut to crack when they’re on the road, especially against the top sides. Defensive structures have been a priority as Everton have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 9 games. Six of Everton’s last 8 games have gone under 2.5 goals for this reason. Generally Everton have been involved in low scoring away fixtures even before Allardyce’s arrival, with 13 of their 20 away fixtures over the last 12 months going under 2.5 goals. Nine of the last 15 fixtures between Tottenham and Everton have gone under 2.5.
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Bournemouth vs. Arsenal |
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Back over 2.5 goals at 1.571 (Pinnacle)
The last three clashes between Arsenal and Bournemouth all have seen over 2.5 goals scored, with the two sides combining for 13 goals in those games. Bournemouth’s last 5 fixtures have all gone over 2.5 goals while 3 of Arsenal’s last 4 games have gone over the total, with 17 goals scored in those 4 fixtures. Bournemouth’s last two fixtures against top six sides saw them concede 4 goals in each of them.
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Liverpool vs. Man City |
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Back Liverpool +1.5 at 1.25 (bet365)
Liverpool have gone 5-2-0 in their last 7 home clashes against Manchester City. At Anfield Liverpool have gone 11-8-2 over the last 12 months. While Man City have gone 4-1-0 in their last 5 away fixtures, they only won 1 of those fixtures by more than a goal, and that was against the out-of-sorts Swansea.