The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 26 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.
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Burnley vs. Man City |
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Back Man City in the head-to-head at 1.31 (Betfair)
Burnley have gone 0-0-4 at home against top-six sides this season, losing three of those fixtures without scoring a goal. They’ve lost their last three straight against Man City, who saw them off 3-0 earlier in the season. Man City are 22-2-1 this season. Since losing to Liverpool they seem to have returned to normal form, seeing off Newcastle 3-1 and West Brom 3-0. While they will be without Leroy Sane for six weeks, the squad boast formidable depth and has been boosted by the £57m January acquisition of French defender Aymeric Laporte.
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Bournemouth vs. Stoke City |
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Back Bournemouth in the head-to-head at 2.05 (William Hill)
Bournemouth’s 3-0 away win over Chelsea has extended their unbeaten streak in the EPL to six games. Than run includes home wins over Arsenal and Everton. After appointing Paul Lambert as manager Stoke City saw the side lift with a win over struggling Huddersfield, but they were booed by fans in their dour home performance against Watford mid-week, which ended 0-0. Stoke City are 2-5-13 over the last 12 months as the away underdog.
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Leicester City vs. Swansea |
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Back Leicester City in the head-to-head at 1.775 (Pinnacle)
Swansea have picked up nicely over the last few weeks with shock wins over Liverpool and Arsenal. Both those wins were at home, however, and based on their 3-4-13 away form over the last 12 months I’m not yet prepared to back them on the road. Leicester City have been solid at home, with a 11-3-6 record and a 9-2-1 record as the home favourite. The Leicester squad has been boosted by the news that the sale of Riyad Mahrez to Man City has fallen through. Mahrez missed the game against Everton and hopefully for Leicester he can settle back into the squad now that the transfer window has closed. Leicester City are 3-0-0 at home against Swansea in the EPL.
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Manchester United vs. Huddersfield |
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Back Man Utd to win to nil at 1.64 (Mad Bookie)
Huddersfield Town are ice cold at the moment. Their most recent EPL fixtures have seen them lose 3-0 to Leicester, 1-4 to West Ham, 2-0 to Stoke City and 0-3 to Liverpool. Goals have dried up, with the side only scoring once in their last 5 fixtures. Man Utd boast a 12-6-1 record as the home favourite over the last 12 months. Notably, 11 of those 12 home wins were to nil.
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West Brom vs. Southampton |
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Back the draw at 3.20 (bet365)
Both sides have strong track records of being involved in draws. West Brom have gone 5-7-8 at home over the last 12 months. Had you placed $1 on the draw on every home game you would be up $3.37, but the trend is even stronger when West Brom are home favourites, with the side having a 4-6-1 record in that situation. Southampton meanwhile have gone 5-6-7 on the road. Placing a $1 bet on the draw in each of those games would see you up $4.91 in profit. West Brom come into this fixture having drawn 6 of their last 12 games, while Southampton have drawn 7 of their last 12. West Brom have won just 1 fixture during that stretch while Southampton haven’t won any.
Back the 1-1 correct score at 7.00 (Betfair)
Five of Southampton’s last seven draws were by 1-1 scorelines, while West Brom’s last two draws were by this scoreline.
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Arsenal vs. Everton |
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Back Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.29 (Ladbrokes, Betstar, Bookmaker, Palmerbet)
Arsenal have gone 15-0-1 as the home favourite over the last 12 months. While they do come into this fixture on the back of a shock away defeat to Swansea, a few weeks earlier they suffered a shock away loss to Bournemouth and then bounced back immediately with a 4-1 home win over Crystal Palace. Everton, meanwhile, are a poor road team, with just one away victory over the last 12 months. Arsenal have a 5-2-0 record against Everton in their last 7 meetings at Emirates Stadium.
Back Arsenal to win to nil at 2.10 (Ladbrokes, Betstar, Bookmaker)
Of Arsenal’s 15 home wins over the last 12 months, 11 were to nil.
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Liverpool vs. Tottenham |
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Back Liverpool in the head-to-head at 2.11 (Pinnacle)
Liverpool boast a 11-7-1 record as the home favourite over the last 12 months while Tottenham have gone 0-0-4 as the away underdog. Tottenham have lost all three away fixtures against top-six opponents so far this season. Liverpool, meanwhile, have gone unbeaten at home against top-six opponents, and saw off Arsenal 4-0 and Man City 4-3.
Back Liverpool in the draw no bet market at 1.53 (Unibet)
Back Liverpool +0.5 at 1.37 (Betfair)
Liverpool have lost only 1 of their last 7 home fixtures against Tottenham and they’ve only lost once at Anfield in the EPL over the last 12 months.
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Watford vs. Chelsea |
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Back Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.598 (Pinnacle)
Chelsea suffered a shock 3-0 defeat to Bournemouth midweek but they boast a 5-0-1 record on the back of a defeat. Chelsea have gone 11-3-3 as the away favourite over the last 12 months. Watford have struggled for points of late, only winning 1 of their last 12 EPL fixtures. They’ve had mixed results against top-six teams at home, but based on current form I can’t back them.