The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 32 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.
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Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool |
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Back both teams to score at 1.70 (bet365)
Since Crystal Palace were promoted back into the Premier League, 8 of the 9 meetings between themselves and Liverpool have seen both teams score. The sole exception occurred at the beginning of this season when Crystal Palace went through their seven-game goalless run. Palace have found a bit of form again now that Wilfried Zaha is fit and they’ve scored in each of their last 3 games, which included fixtures against Chelsea and Man Utd. Liverpool, meanwhile, have scored in each of their last 7 games.
Back over 2.5 goals at 1.57 (Palmerbet)
Eight of the last nine EPL meetings between the two sides went over 2.5 goals, with five of those fixtures seeing over 3.5 goals. If you had wagered money on over 2.5 goals in every one of Palace’s or Liverpool’s EPL fixtures over the last 12 months you would be in profit.
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Manchester United vs. Swansea |
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Back Man Utd in the head-to-head at 1.23 (Unibet)
Man Utd boast a 12-5-0 record as the home favourite over the last 12 months while Swansea have gone 2-6-10 as the away underdog. Despite Swansea’s pick up in form, their 4 wins have all come at home. Their most recent away fixtures saw them lose 4-1 to Brighton and draw Huddersfield 0-0. Man Utd are on a 4-game winning streak at home, which included wins over Chelsea and Liverpool.
Back Man Utd to win to nil at 1.71 (MadBookie)
Of Man Utd’s last 14 home wins, 11 were to nil. None of the last 5 teams ranked 10th or below on the table scored a goal in their visit to Old Trafford. Swansea have only scored 1 goal in 5 away fixtures against sides ranked 7th or higher this season.
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Watford vs. Bournemouth |
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Back Watford +0.5 (double chance) in the Asian Handicap at 1.43 (Betfair)
Watford are on a good run of form at home, having won their last 3 at Vicarage Road. Had it not been for that run I would have backed the draw. Bournemouth have a 3-7-7 record as the away underdog over the last 12 months. Away wins against the non-title contenders have been hard to come by, with Bournemouth going 0-4-1 in their last 5 against sides ranked 8th and below. Four of the last 5 meetings between the two sides ended in a stalemate, with Watford winning the most recent meeting. With Bournemouth virtually safe from relegation, I suspect their urgency in away fixtures won’t quite be there for the rest of the season.
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Newcastle vs. Huddersfield |
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Back Newcastle in the head-to-head at 1.76 (Unibet)
While Newcastle have won their last 2 home fixtures 1-0 against Man Utd and 3-0 against Southampton, this is more a bet against Huddersfield than it is a bet on Newcastle. Huddersfield have lost 10 of their 15 away games this season and they’ve been held scoreless in 11 of them. Goals have dried up recently, with Huddersfield failing to score in their last 3 fixtures, which included 2 home fixtures against Swansea and Crystal Palace.
Back Newcastle to win to nil at 2.63 (Sportsbet)
All 10 of Huddersfield’s away defeats this season have been to nil, while 4 of Newcastle’s 5 home wins have been to nil.
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West Brom vs. Burnley |
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Back Burnley +0.5 (double chance) in the Asian Handicap at 1.58 (Betfair)
West Brom look doomed for relegation. They’ve lost 7 on the trot despite 5 of those fixtures coming against non-title contenders and they’ve only won 2 fixtures over the last 12 months. Alan Pardew’s tenure as manager hasn’t worked out but due to the poor financial health of the club it’s rumoured they can’t afford to sack him due to the compensation fees involved. Burnley have had a flat patch but they’ve picked up in form recently with back-to-back wins, including that infamous 3-0 away win over West Ham that saw crowd trouble. They’ve only lost 1 of their last 6 games coming into this clash. It wouldn’t surprise me if Burnley win this, but given the high number of draws they’ve been involved in, I’ll opt for Burnley in the Asian Handicap market instead.
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Arsenal vs. Stoke City |
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Back Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.32 (Unibet)
Arsenal boast a 16-0-1 record as the home favourite over the last 12 months and they have a perfect 7-0-0 home record against the Potters over the last seven years. Stoke City haven’t caused any of the top clubs any problems away from home this season, losing 7-2 to Man City, 5-1 to Tottenham, 5-0 to Chelsea and 3-0 to Man Utd.
Back Arsenal -1.5 in the Asian Handicap at 1.82 (Sportsbet)
Of Arsenal’s 16 home wins over the last 12 months, 12 were by 2 or more goals. Half of Stoke’s 12 away defeats over the last 12 months have been by more than a goal. Arsenal’s last 5 wins over Burnley have all been by more than a goal.