The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 36 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.
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Huddersfield vs. Everton |
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Back under 2.5 goals at 1.52 (Mad Bookie)
After a 4-game scoreless drought Huddersfield have picked up 4 points from their last 2 games. Nevertheless goals remain hard to come by, with the side only scoring more than once in 1 of their last 12 fixtures. Under Sam Allardyce Everton are quite happy to play conservatively and aim for 1-0 wins, so I don’t expect this fixture to be the highlight of the round.
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Burnley vs. Brighton |
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Back Burnley in the head-to-head at 2.27 (Unibet)
Burnley have gone 5-1-0 in their last 6 home fixtures against sides below them on the table. Brighton will most likely stay up this season, but that’s primarily due to their home form. Away from Amex Stadium they have gone 2-4-10. Of their 10 away defeats, 7 were by more than a goal.
Back Burnley to win to nil at 3.35 (Mad Bookie, Unibet)
Of Burnley’s 7 home wins over the last 12 months, 5 were to nil, while 8 of Brighton’s 10 away defeats were to nil.
Back Burnley to win 1-0 at 7.00 (Betfair)
When you combine the above statement with the fact that 6 of Burnley’s 7 home wins were by 1 goal, the 1-0 correct score looks appealing.
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Crystal Palace vs. Leicester City |
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Back over 2.5 goals at 1.86 (bet365)
Both sides come into this fixture on the back of 0-0 draws, but I’m tipping a high scoring game. The over/under 2.5 goals for Palace at home over the last 12 months is 12/7, while the over/under for Leicester City away from home is also 12/7. Had you backed over 2.5 goals in all of those fixtures you would be in a net profit. The last three meetings between the two sides all saw more than 2.5 goals scored.
Back both teams to score at 1.70 (bet365)
Both teams have scored in 14 of Leicester City’s last 19 away fixtures, while the same can be said for 4 of Palace’s last 5 home fixtures.
Back Leicester City +1.5 in the Asian Handicap at 1.27 (bet365)
Crystal Palace have only won by more than a goal in 1 of their 19 home games over the past 12 months. Leicester City have only lost by more than a goal in 2 of their 19 away fixtures during the same period.
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Swansea vs. Chelsea |
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Back Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.54 (Unibet)
A month ago I would have backed Swansea in this situation, but they’re in a bit of a rut at the moment. They’ve gone 0-3-2 in their last 5 games, which has seen them slide back into relegation trouble. Their 5-0 defeat to Man City last week won’t have helped their confidence. Chelsea come into this fixture on the back of consecutive away wins over Southampton and Burnley. They have a 10-2-3 record as the away favourite over the last 12 months, so are worth a look at in the head-to-head market if you can get better than 1.50 odds.
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West Ham vs. Manchester City |
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Back Man City in the head-to-head at 1.33 (Unibet)
Back Man City -1.5 at 1.91 (bet365)
West Ham have been blowing hot and cold recently. They’ve had the occasional good win but have also had too many defeats. Their recent defeats have all been by ugly scorelines, with the last four all coming by 3+ goal differentials. With Man City now able to focus fully on the EPL, they look more dangerous than ever. They’ve won each of their last four away fixtures by at least 2 goals (including wins over Tottenham and Arsenal) and they defeated Swansea 5-0 at home last week. The last time West Ham hosted Man City they lost 0-4. Of Man City’s 15 away wins over the last 12 months, 9 were by 2+ goals.
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Manchester United vs. Arsenal |
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Back Manchester United in the head-to-head at 1.47 (Unibet)
I wish I could get better odds, especially with Arsenal winning 4 of their last 5, but the fact of the matter is Arsenal have been poor away from home against top six clubs. Their 4 recent wins were all at home and they are in fact on a 5-game losing streak away from Emirates Stadium. Man Utd have gone 13-2-1 as the home favourite over the last 12 months while Arsenal have gone 0-1-4 as the away underdog. Man Utd have a 5-2-0 home EPL record against Arsenal over the last 7 years.
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Tottenham vs. Watford |
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Back Tottenham -1.5 at 1.47 (Unibet)
Tottenham have won 5 of their last 6 home games against sides outside the top 8, with all 5 of those victories coming by 2+ goal margins. Watford have lost all 5 away fixtures against the big six teams this season, with all 5 defeats coming by 2+ goal margins. The last time Tottenham hosted Watford they won 4-0.