The following is a match centre with betting tips for the 2018 FIFA World Cup Group C fixture between Denmark and France. The game kicks off on the 27th of June at 12:00 AM AEST. It will be broadcast live on SBS Viceland.
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Denmark
- FIFA World Rank: 12
- Elo Rating: 16
- Qualifying: Runners up in Group E with a 6-2-2 record in the UEFA Confederation qualification. Defeated the Republic of Ireland 5-1 on aggregate in the UEFA Second Round playoffs.
Squad:
- Coach: Åge Hareide (Norway)
- Goalkeepers: Frederik Ronnow (Brondby), Jonas Lossl (Huddersfield), Kasper Schmeichel (Leicester)
- Defenders: Andreas Christensen (Chelsea), Henrik Dalsgaard (Brentford), Jannik Vestergaard (Borussia Monchengladbach), Jens Stryger Larsen (Udinese), Jonas Knudsen (Ipswich), Mathias Jorgensen (Huddersfield), Simon Kjaer (Sevilla)
- Midfielders: Christian Eriksen (Tottenham), Lasse Schone (Ajax), Lukas Lerager (Bordeaux), Michael Krohn-Dehli (Deportivo La Coruna), Thomas Delaney (Werder Bremen), Willian Kvist (FC Copenhagen)
- Forwards: Andreas Cornelius (Atalanta), Kasper Dolberg (Ajax), Martin Braithwaite (Bordeaux), Nicolai Jorgensen (Feyenoord), Pione Sisto (Celta Vigo), Viktor Fischer (FC Copenhagen), Yussuf Yurary Poulsen (RB Leipzig)
Recent results:
- Denmark 1 – 1 Australia
21/06/2018
FIFA World Cup, played in Russia - Peru 0 – 1 Denmark
16/06/2018
FIFA World Cup, played in Russia - Denmark 2 – 0 Mexico
09/06/2018
Friendly, played in Denmark - Sweden 0 – 0 Denmark
02/06/2018
Friendly, played in Sweden - Denmark 0 – 0 Chile
27/03/2018
Friendly, played in Denmark - Denmark 1 – 0 Panama
22/03/2018
Friendly, played in Denmark - Denmark 0 – 1 Sweden
11/01/2018
Friendly, played in the UAE - Ireland 1 – 5 Denmark
14/11/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Ireland - Denmark 0 – 0 Ireland
11/11/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Denmark - Denmark 1 – 1 Romania
08/10/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Denmark - Montenegro 0 – 1 Denmark
05/10/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Montenegro - Armenia 1 – 4 Denmark
04/09/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Armenia
Statistics: (last four years):
- H2H Record: 18-13-11
- O/U record
- O/U 0.5 record: 36-6
- O/U 1.5 record: 27-15
- O/U 2.5 record: 18-24
- O/U 3.5 record: 12-30
- O/U 4.5 record: 6-36
- O/U 5.5 record: 1-41
- Wins
- Total wins: 18
- Won by 1 goal: 8
- Won by 2 goals: 4
- Won by 3 goals: 2
- Won by 4 goals: 3
- Won by 5 goals: 1
- Won by 5+ goals: 0
- Won to nil 9
- Losses
- Total losses: 11
- Lost by 1 goal: 9
- Lost by 2 goals: 2
- Lost by 3 goals: 0
- Lost by 4 goals: 0
- Lost by 5 goals: 0
- Lost by 5+ goals: 0
- Lost to nil 7
- Clean Sheets and BTTS
- Total Games: 42
- Clean Sheets: 15
- Held Scoreless: 13
- Both Teams Scored: 20
France
- FIFA World Rank: 7
- Elo Rating: 4
- Qualifying: Won Group A with a 7-2-1 record in the UEFA Confederation qualification.
Squad:
- Coach: Didier Deschamps
- Goalkeepers: Alphone Areola (Paris St Germain), Hugo Lloris (Tottenham Hotspur), Steve Mandanda (Olympique de Marseille)
- Defenders: Lucas Hernandez (Atletico Madrid), Presnel Kimpembe (Paris St Germain), Benjamin Pavard (VfB Stuttgart), Benjamin Mendy (Manchester City), Djibril Sidibe (Monaco), Adil Rami (Olympique de Marseille), Samuel Umtiti (Barcelona), Raphael Varane (Real Madrid)
- Midfielders: Blaise Matuidi (Juventus), N'Golo Kante (Chelsea), Steven N'Zonzi (Sevilla), Paul Pogba (Manchester United), Corentin Tolisso (Bayern Munich)
- Forwards: Olivier Giroud (Chelsea), Antoine Griezmann (Atletico Madrid), Kylian Mbappe (Paris St Germain), Thomas Lemar (Monaco), Nabil Fekir (Olympique Lyonnais), Florian Thauvin (Olympique de Marseille), Ousmane Dembele (Barcelona)
Recent results:
- France 1 – 0 Peru
21/06/2018
FIFA World Cup, played in Russia - France 2 – 1 Australia
16/06/2018
FIFA World Cup, played in Russia - France 1 – 1 USA
09/06/2018
Friendly, played in France - France 3 – 1 Italy
01/06/2018
Friendly, played in France - France 2 – 0 Ireland
28/05/2018
Friendly, played in France - Russia 1 – 3 France
27/03/2018
Friendly, played in Russia - France 2 – 3 Colombia
23/03/2018
Friendly, played in France - Germany 2 – 2 France
14/11/2017
Friendly, played in Germany - France 2 – 0 Wales
10/11/2017
Friendly, played in France - France 2 – 1 Belarus
10/10/2017
WC qualifiers, played in France - Bulgaria 0 – 1 France
07/10/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Bulgaria - France 0 – 0 Luxembourg
03/09/2017
WC qualifiers, played in France
Statistics: (last four years):
- H2H Record: 36-8-9
- O/U record
- O/U 0.5 record: 49-4
- O/U 1.5 record: 40-13
- O/U 2.5 record: 28-25
- O/U 3.5 record: 17-36
- O/U 4.5 record: 9-44
- O/U 5.5 record: 3-50
- Wins
- Total wins: 36
- Won by 1 goal: 17
- Won by 2 goals: 12
- Won by 3 goals: 4
- Won by 4 goals: 2
- Won by 5 goals: 1
- Won by 5+ goals: 0
- Won to nil 18
- Losses
- Total losses: 9
- Lost by 1 goal: 6
- Lost by 2 goals: 3
- Lost by 3 goals: 0
- Lost by 4 goals: 0
- Lost by 5 goals: 0
- Lost by 5+ goals: 0
- Lost to nil 5
- Clean Sheets and BTTS
- Total Games: 53
- Clean Sheets: 22
- Held Scoreless: 9
- Both Teams Scored: 26
Commentary
Denmark’s destiny is in their own hands after a 1-0 win over Peru and a 1-1 draw with Australia. They sit second in the Group C standings on 4 points, with France on 6 and Australia on 1.
Against Australia Denmark paid the price for not being more ruthless in front of goal as they failed to capitalise on their 1-0 lead. Failing to win that clash means a defeat against France could see them eliminated if Australia win and the tie breaking rules go against them. Star player Christian Eriksen continues to be a talisman for the side. He set up Denmark’s goal against Peru and was the goalscorer against Australia. In his last 15 games for Denmark he has scored 13 goals and provided 5 assists. Much of how Denmark fare in this tournament comes down to his performances. In team news, Yussuf Poulsen will miss this clash after receiving yellow cards in both prior fixtures. William Kvist remains out after suffering a chest injury against Peru.
France have qualified for the Round of 16 following a 2-1 win over Australia and a 1-0 win over Peru. Their form thus far has been underwhelming, given the quality within the squad, but they continue to get the results they need and know that a draw in this clash would guarantee that they win Group C. They were better against Peru than they were against Australia, with Olivier Giroud’s inclusion in the starting line-up boosting the side as he created opportunities for Antoine Griezmann and Kylian Mbappé. Mbappé’s winning goal continues his fine form for Les Bleus.
He has been directly involved in eight goals in his past nine games for France with four goals and four assists. Helping France’s cause is the fact that a draw would suit Denmark nicely as their main priority will be to avoid elimination.
Betting
bet365 odds (subject to change):
Compare the latest bookmaker odds for Denmark vs. France
With qualification assured and uncertainty over who will come 1st and 2nd in Group D (with whom Group C is paired against in the Round of 16), what will France’s approach be? Will they rest key players and go through the motions, or will they put on an attacking clinic with little pressure on them? Both sides have only lost 1 of their last 12 fixtures, with Denmark going 6-5-1 and France going 8-3-1. With Denmark keen to avoid a bad hit to their goal difference given Australia’s threat, I expect they will keep this tight. France have only kept 2 clean sheets in their last 8 games, so my best guesses for the score are 1-1 and 1-2, but 0-0 isn’t out of the question given Denmark have had 3 goalless draws in their last 9 fixtures. I’m going to make two conflicting bets to cover each scenario.
Betting tip: stake 0.25 units on the 0-0 draw at 6.50 (Ladbrokes) and stake 0.75 units both teams to score at 2.40 (Sportsbet)
Notes
- FIFA World rankings are from the 7th of June and sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifa-world-ranking/ranking-table/men/index.html
- The World Football Elo Ratings are from the 11th of June and are based on the Elo rating system, developed by Dr. Arpad Elo. This system is used by the international chess federation to rate chess players and is considered by many to be a superior rating tool to the one used by FIFA. The ratings have been sourced from https://www.eloratings.net/.
- Squad lists sourced from http://www.skysports.com/football/news/12098/11374464/every-world-cup-squad-listed-argentina-brazil-russia-and-more