The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 9 of the 2018/19 English Premier League.
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Chelsea vs. Manchester United |
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Back Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.72 (Neds)
Chelsea are worth considering at anything over 1.60 odds. They have gone 13-3-2 as the home favourite over the last 12 months and their last five home fixtures against Man Utd have seen them go 4-1-0. United have lost their previous two league fixtures at Stamford Bridge by a combined score of 5 goals to nil. Under new head coach Maurizio Sarri, Chelsea have gone 3-1-0 at home, with only Liverpool managing to avoid defeat.
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Newcastle vs. Brighton |
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Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.59 (Betfair)
Newcastle have started the season 0-2-6, but to be fair they have had a notoriously tough schedule, with those fixtures including Tottenham, Chelsea, Man City, Arsenal and Man Utd. They will be looking for all three points against Brighton, but it won’t be easy given the visitors are well organised and make themselves hard to break down when on the road. Only 4 of Brighton’s 18 away games over the last 12 months have gone over 2.5 goals. Had you placed $1 on the under in every Brighton away fixture you would be up $9.14. Last season both fixtures between Newcastle and Brighton went under 1.5 goals with the match at St James’ Park resulting in a 0-0 draw.
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Bournemouth vs. Southampton |
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Back Bournemouth in the head-to-head at 2.10 (Neds)
Bournemouth are in much better form than Southampton. The hosts have begun the season with a 5-1-2 record compared to Southampton’s 1-2-5 start. Bournemouth are on a two-game winning streak while Southampton have lost their last three by a combined 8 goals to nil. Over the last 12 months Bournemouth have gone 8-4-1 as the home favourite while Southampton have gone 1-3-9 as the away underdog.
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Cardiff City vs. Fulham |
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Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.98 (Neds, Unibet)
Much like Newcastle, Cardiff have suffered a horrible 0-2-6 start to the season, but their schedule has also been tough, with games against four of the big six teams. Against the rest of the competition they have kept things tight, with Huddersfield and Newcastle held scoreless and three of those four fixtures going under 2.5 goals. Fulham have had a rough time of it too with a 1-2-5 start. For this reason this clash is crucial for both sides, who can ill-afford to give the other three points. With so much on the line, my prediction is a nervy, low scoring game.
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Wolverhampton vs. Watford |
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Back Wolverhampton in the head-to-head at 1.84 (Betfair)
As most pundits had expected, Wolverhampton have adjusted well to life back in the Premier League. After a 0-2-1 start they have since gone 4-1-0 and have kept four clean sheets in their last five fixtures. Wolverhampton have only conceded twice in their last six fixtures, and those goals were to Man City and Man Utd. After storming to a 4-0-0 start to the season, Watford have stumbled in recent weeks, going 0-1-3. Alarmingly, those four results got worse as the weeks wore on, finishing with a 4-0 home defeat against Bournemouth.
Back Under 2.5 goals at (Neds, Unibet)
Much of Wolverhampton’s success has been due to their tight defence. Their last seven matches have all gone under 2.5 goals.
Back Wolverhampton to win to nil at 2.90 (Neds)
All four of Wolverhampton’s wins this season have been to nil and Watford have failed to score in their last two games.
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Huddersfield vs. Liverpool |
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Back Liverpool -1.5 at 1.94 (bet365)
Over the last 12 months Huddersfield have gone 3-0-8 as the home underdog while Liverpool have gone 11-3-2 as the away favourite. Of Huddersfield’s 10 home defeats over the last 12 months, 7 were by 2+ goals, while 7 of Liverpool’s 11 away wins were by 2+ goals.
Back the Huddersfield 0-3 Liverpool correct score at 8.00 (bet365)
Both meetings last season were won by Liverpool 3-0.
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Everton vs. Crystal Palace |
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Back Everton in the head-to-head at 1.93 (Betfair)
After a disappointing start to the campaign Everton have shown promising signs by winning their last two fixtures (3-0 at home against Fulham and 2-1 away against Leicester City). Crystal Palace have been their bogey team in the past but Everton did defeat the Eagles at Goodison Park in February of the 2017/18 campaign. Crystal Palace limp into this fixture on the back of defeats to Bournemouth and Wolverhampton. Their only two wins of the campaign have been over struggling Fulham and Huddersfield. Palace will be without Christian Benteke while long-term absentees Scott Dann and Connor Wickham are still looking to build up match fitness.
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Arsenal vs. Leicester City |
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Back Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.53 (Unibet)
After a slow start as they adjusted to life under new manager Unai Emery, Arsenal have since hit their strides, winning their last six games. They were defensively frail to begin with but have only conceded 1 goal in their last three games whilst scoring 9. The last two fixtures at Emirates Stadium resulted in wins to nil. Leicester City have blown hot and cold this campaign, as evident by their 4-0-4 record. Over the last 12 months they have gone 4-2-9 as the away underdog while Arsenal have gone 14-0-1 as the home favourite. It’s fair to say that Leicester City don’t enjoy visiting Emirate Stadium. Their last four visits have all resulted in defeat.