The following are betting tips for Gameweek 23 of the 2018/19 English Premier League.
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Manchester United vs. Brighton |
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Back Man Utd in the head-to-head at 1.30 (Unibet)
Man Utd continue to thrive under caretaker manager Ole Gunnar Solskjær. They defeated Tottenham away from home last week to extend their EPL run to 5-0-0 since José Mourinho’s departure. Old Trafford is a tough place for weaker travelling teams, with United boasting a 11-3-2 record as the home favourite over the last 12 months. Brighton have caused good teams problems when at home, but away from the Amex they haven’t been effective, losing to nil to Watford, Liverpool and Man City this season.
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Watford vs. Burnley |
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Back Bournemouth +0.5 at 1.45 (bet365)
Bournemouth have gone 1-1-3 in their last five fixtures, but all three losses were away from home. They’re much stronger at Dean Court where they’ve gone 8-5-0 as the home favourite over the last 12 months. West Ham have been blowing hot and cold all season and they lost at home to Bournemouth earlier in the season.
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Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace |
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Back Crystal Palace +2.5 at 1.55 (bet365)
In lieu of their goalkeeper injury woes, I don’t expect Crystal Palace to beat Liverpool, but in the eleven meetings since Palace’s promotion, Liverpool have never beaten Palace by 3 or more goals and they only managed a two-goal win on one occasion. So far this season Palace have played away against Chelsea, Manchester United and Manchester City and none of those clubs managed to beat them by more than 2 goals – in fact United could only manage a draw while City suffered a shock defeat. Over the last 12 months only 1 of Palace’s 9 away defeats were by more than 2.5 goals. Since their promotion Palace have won 3 of their 5 visits to Anfield.
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Arsenal vs. Chelsea |
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Back Arsenal +0.5 at 1.60 (bet365)
Arsenal have lost three of their last six games, but those defeats were all away from home. They’ve gone 15-2-2 at Emirates Stadium over the last 12 months. Four of the last eight meetings between Arsenal and Chelsea at this venue resulted in a stalemate so a draw is a strong possibility.
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Huddersfield vs. Manchester City |
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Back Man City in the head-to-head at 1.18 (Betfair)
With 11 points from 22 games this season, Huddersfield need a miracle if they are to avoid relegation. They did well to pick up a 0-0 away draw against Cardiff City last week, but that was on the back of eight consecutive losses and Manchester City are a completely different class of opponent. The last time the two sides met City ran out 6-1 winners and Huddersfield have gone 1-1-7 as the home underdog over the last 12 months.
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Fulham vs. Tottenham |
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Back Tottenham in the head-to-head at 1.80 (Betfair)
Fulham were unlucky to lose to Burnley last week, but again their defensive frailties continue to cost them. They now take on a Tottenham side that has gone 12-2-3 as the away favourite over the last 12 months. The Spurs have won their last three away fixtures by a combined 11 goals to 3. Fulham have hosted just one of the top six teams this season and that resulted in a 1-5 defeat to Arsenal. Looking at the interactive EPL form guide, Tottenham have won all of their last six fixtures against weak opponents. The loss of striker Harry Kane to an ankle injury is a blow, but Tottenham should still have too much quality for Fulham and Kane’s injury has seen Tottenham drift out to good value odds.