The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 8 of the 2019/20 English Premier League.
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Brighton vs. Tottenham |
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Back Tottenham +0.5 at 1.28 (Betfair)
This is more a bet against Brighton who only managed one shot on target against Chelsea last week. They have only scored two goals since Gameweek 1. The Seagulls have gone 0-1-13 against the “big six” clubs since promotion. Brighton bring a six-game winless streak into this clash. They have gone 1-6-9 in their last 16 EPL games. Tottenham did the double over Brighton last season. I’ve opted for Tottenham +0.5 rather than in the head-to-head because they haven’t won away from home in months and will be backing up after a UEFA Champions League fixture.
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Watford vs. Sheffield United |
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Back Sheffield United +0.5 at 1.78 (Betfair)
Watford bring 0-3-8 form into this fixture while Sheffield United have gone 1-2-0 away from home this season. Stretching back to their Championship campaign last season, Sheffield United are unbeaten in their last 12 away league fixtures, a run that dates back to January. Chris Wilder’s side have looked strong this season and they pushed Liverpool hard last week. As I have written previously, I don’t expect Sheffield United to get relegated this season.
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Liverpool vs. Leicester City |
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Back Liverpool +0.5 at 1.45 (BetEasy, TopBetta)
Liverpool have gone 17-2-0 at home (17-1-0 as the home favourite) over the last 12 months and they bring a 16-game EPL winning streak into this clash. Leicester City have gone 2-2-7 as the away underdog over the last 12 months.
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Norwich vs. Aston Villa |
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Back Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 (TopBetta)
Both sides have been involved in high-scoring games with both teams struggling to keep clean sheets. The two sides are tied 3rd for conceding the most shots this season. Norwich’s defence isn’t helped by having to field their third-choice goalkeeper against Crystal Palace last week. Norwich’s three home games to date have resulted in 3-1, 2-3 and 3-2 scorelines, while Aston Villa’s last two games have gone over 3.5 goals (3-2 and 2-2).
Back Teemu Pukki in the Anytime Goalscorer market at 2.05 (bet365)
Teemu Pukki has scored for Norwich in every home game this season. His season tally is 6 goals from 7 games.
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West Ham vs. Crystal Palace |
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Back West Ham +0.0 (draw no bet) at 1.50 (Betfair)
Back West Ham +0.5 at 1.32 (Betfair)
West Ham bring 3-3-0 form into this fixture and they have kept three clean sheets in their last four games. Offense has been a strength too, with the Hammers scoring 9 goals in their last 5 games and 17 goals in their last 9. West Ham are unbeaten in their last nine EPL fixtures against Crystal Palace. Palace have made a strong 3-2-2 start to the season, which is why I have shied away from the Hammers in the head-to-head.
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Southampton vs. Chelsea |
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Back Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.90 (Unibet)
Southampton have lost 4 out of 7 games this season and they have lost their last 4 home games against Chelsea. Chelsea’s only defeat since Gameweek 1 was to Liverpool. They recently saw off Brighton and Wolverhampton comfortably. Chelsea scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 4 visits to Southampton.
Back Over 2.5 goals at 1.72 (Betfair)
Southampton’s recent woes have been due to their leaky defence, which has been breached five times in the last two games. Chelsea have been scoring freely but their own defence has been suspect. The Blues have the 3rd most prolific offence and the 4th worst defence this season. Over the last 12 months 13 of Southampton’s 18 home games went over 2.5 goals, while 13 of Chelsea’s 18 away games went over 2.5. Five of the last 7 fixtures between the two at St Mary’s Stadium went over the total.
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Arsenal vs. Bournemouth |
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Back Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.42 (TopBetta)
Back Arsenal -1.5 at 2.10 (bet365)
Since promotion Bournemouth have gone 0-0-4 at Emirates Stadium, with all four defeats coming by 2+ goal margins. Arsenal have gone 13-4-1 at home over the last 12 months, with nine of those wins coming by 2+ goal margins. Of Bournemouth’s 12 away defeats over the last 12 months, 11 were by 2+ goals.