The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 27 of the 2019/20 English Premier League.
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Chelsea vs. Tottenham |
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Back Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.94 (Unibet)
This is more a bet against Tottenham who have gone 0-3-5 as the away underdog over the last 12 months and who have a poor 1-3-5 record at Stamford Bridge over the last nine years. Chelsea were given no favours by VAR in their home defeat to Manchester United last week. They clearly missed Tammy Abraham in that clash and he’s rated as a 75% chance of returning for this fixture. The injury news for Tottenham, meanwhile, is woeful. Already without Harry Kane they have now lost Son Heung-min after he fractured his arm against Aston Villa, a game in which he scored twice. Another factor is Tottenham will have played midweek in the Champions League, while Chelsea’s Champions League fixture isn’t until the 26th.
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Sheffield United vs. Brighton |
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Back Sheffield United +0.5 at 1.27 (Betfair)
Back Sheffield United in the head-to-head at 2.04 (Betfair)
Sheffield United have gone 5-1-2 as the home favourite this season. They currently sit 6th in the standings, above the likes of Man Utd and Arsenal. You can be sure if Man Utd or Arsenal were hosting Brighton you wouldn’t be getting 2.02 odds! The Blades currently sit 4th in the interactive EPL form guide for home form against weak opponents, with a 4-1-1 record over their past six such game. They also sit 2nd in the standings for overall form against weak opponents, with a 4-2-0 recent record. Brighton have a poor 3-5-11 away record over the last 12 months and they have won just 1 of their last 11 games. Sheffield United defeated Brighton at Amex Stadium earlier in the season.
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Burnley vs. Bournemouth |
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Back Burnley in the head-to-head at 2.24 (Betfair)
I’ve said before that Burnley are a streaky team and right now they bring 3-1-0 form coming into this fixture. They have a 5-0-2 record against Bournemouth and a 5-0-3 record as the home favourite over the last 12 months. Bournemouth, meanwhile, have lost their last four straight away fixtures and they have a 4-2-12 record as the away underdog over the last 12 months.
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Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle |
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Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.55 (Betfair)
Back Under 1.5 goals at 2.70 (Unibet)
This game features the two lowest scoring teams in the league. Newcastle have scored 24 this season while Crystal Palace have manged just 23. Historically this has been a low scoring clash. The last six meetings between the two went under 2.5 goals and five of those six fixtures went under 1.5 goals.
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Wolverhampton vs. Norwich |
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Back Wolverhampton +0.5 at 1.16 (Betfair)
Wolverhampton have gone 5-6-0 as the home favourite over the last 12 months while Norwich have gone 1-3-9 away from home this season. I’ve shied away from Wolves in the head-to-head due to their high draw frequency.
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Manchester United vs. Watford |
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Back Manchester Unuted in the head-to-head at 1.60 (bet365, Unibet)
Man Utd aren’t exactly in blistering form but this is more of a bet against their opponents. Watford had a good initial run of 4-1-1 after Nigel Pearson’s appointment as manager but they have since gone 0-2-2. The Hornets have gone 1-4-10 as the away underdog over the last 12 months and they have a 0-0-4 record at Old Trafford.
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Arsenal vs. Everton |
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Back Arsenal +0.5 at 1.35 (Betfair)
You have to go back to 1996 for the last time Arsenal lost at home to Everton. Arsenal have won their last five straight at home against the Blues. Everton have gone 1-2-4 as the away underdog over the last 12 months while Arsenal have gone 8-6-2 as the home favourite.
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Liverpool vs. West Ham |
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[NOTE: West Ham have not yet played their mid-week fixture against Manchester City at the time of writing.]
Back Liverpool to win to nil at 1.95 (bet365)
Liverpool have won their last 19 straight home games and they have only conceded one goal in their last eleven fixtures. Of West Ham’s 10 away defeats over the last 12 months, 7 were to nil.