The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 3 of the 2021/22 English Premier League.
Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
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Man City vs. Arsenal |
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Back Man City in the head-to-head at 1.25 (bet365)
Manchester City have won eight straight in the league against Arsenal. They have also won five straight at home against the Gunners. Arsenal were hit with a covid outbreak just prior to the season with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette among four positive Covid-19 cases. Aubameyang came on as a substitute against Chelsea but he struggled badly, suggesting the virus has eroded his match fitness. Arsenal’s £50m centre-back Ben White contracted Covid-19 prior to the Chelsea clash and is unlikely to play this weekend.
Back Man City to win to nil at 2.00 (bet365)
Six of Man City’s last seven wins over Arsenal were to nil, including the last four. Arsenal have yet to score a goal this season. Eleven of City’s 14 home wins over the last 12 months were to nil while 11 of Arsenal’s 15 defeats were to nil.
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West Ham vs. Crystal Palace |
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Back West Ham in the head-to-head at 1.63 (Unibet)
West Ham have gone 8-2-2 as the home favourite over the last 12 months while Crystal Palace have gone 3-3-11 as the away underdog. Palace have lost three straight away games spanning this season and the last, while West Ham bring a four-game winning streak spanning both seasons into this fixture.
Back Over 2.5 goals at 1.90 (bet365)
West Ham scored 4 goals in each of their opening two games. Their fixtures have gone over the total in 12 of their 20 home games over the last 12 months, while the same figure applies to Palace’s 20 away games during this period. Ten of the last 16 meetings between the two went over 2.5 goals.
Back both teams to score at 1.90 (bet365)
Both teams scored in each of the last eight league meetings between the two. The same can be said for 9 of West Ham’s last 12 fixtures.
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Norwich vs. Leicester City |
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Back Leicester City +0.5 (half ball / double chance) at 1.22 (bet365)
Leicester City have gone 6-5-1 as the away favourite over the last 12 months. Spanning this stint in the Premier League and their 2019/20 stint, Norwich have lost 12 consecutive games and they only scored one goal in total during that stretch.
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Newcastle vs. Southampton |
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Back Newcastle in the head-to-head at 2.60 (bet365)
Newcastle have gone 3-0-1 as the home favourite over the last 12 months and they have won four consecutive games at home against Southampton. Southampton have lost six straight away from home and they have gone 2-3-9 as the away underdog over the last 12 months.
Back Newcastle +0.5 at 1.48 (bet365)
Newcastle have only lost one of their last eight home fixtures against Southampton.
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Tottenham vs. Watford |
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Back Tottenham in the head-to-head at 1.43 (Unibet)
Watford have conceded two goals in each of their opening two fixtures. This doesn’t bode well against a Tottenham side that won both opening fixtures to nil and will probably start Harry Kane for the first time this season.
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Burnley vs. Leeds |
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Back Leeds in the head-to-head at 2.18 (WinnersBet)
Leeds completed the double over Burnley last season by an aggregate of five goals to nil. Spanning this season and the last, Burnley have lost five consecutive games. Over the last 12 months Leeds have gone 5-0-1 as the away favourite.
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Wolves vs. Man Utd |
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Back Man Utd in the head-to-head at 1.75 (Sportsbet, Unibet)
Wolverhampton have lost five straight league games spanning this season and the last and they only managed to score one goal during that stretch. Manchester United enter this clash on the back of a disappointing draw, but I’m expecting a response from them after that insipid display by their standards. Despite the draw, United actually registered 2.26 expected goals compared to 0.59 for their opponents in that clash. United are unbeaten in their last 27 away leagues games.