The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 35 of the 2022/23 English Premier League. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
This round is tricky to provide tips for at the time of writing because there are still three midweek fixtures yet to play.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com
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Man City vs. Leeds |
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Note: Man City have yet to play their midweek fixture against West Ham at the time of writing.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.33 (bet365)
Over 3.5 goals at 1.91 (bet365)
Over the last twelve months, 16 of Man City’s 18 home games went over 2.5 goals and 13 went over 3.5. Out of Leeds’ last nine games, eight went over 2.5 goals, six went over 3.5 and five went over 4.5. The last three meetings between Man City and Leeds went over 3.5 goals. Leeds conceded 23 goals in April, which is a Premier League record for a single month. The last time Leeds visited City they were mauled 7-0.
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Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace |
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Over 2.5 goals at 1.76 (Colossalbet)
Over 3.5 goals at 2.88 (Colossalbet)
Tottenham’s defence has been a shambles, but they have also been scoring freely. This combination has seen their last four games total 5, 7, 4 and 7 total goals. Looking back further, seven of their last eight games went over 2.5 goals, including the last five. Crystal Palace are now safe from relegation and they have been scoring freely since Roy Hodgson’s appointment. Defensively they haven’t been great, which has resulted in high scoring games. Since Hodgson’s return, two of their six games went over 5.5 goals. Palace’s last four games against Tottenham went over 2.5 goals, their last three visits to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium went over 2.5 goals and two of those three visits went over 3.5.
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Wolves vs. Aston Villa |
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Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 (bet365, Colossalbet)
Wolves have been strong at home and defence has been the key. Wolverhampton have held their last three visitors scoreless at Molineux Stadium. Only six of their last 18 home games have gone over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa’s strong run has been based on excellent defence too. They have conceded just 3 goals in their last 11 games. Villa’s last three games have gone under 2.5 goals and their last two went under 1.5. Five of Aston Villa’s last six away games went under 2.5 goals and the one game that went over during that run was a 2-1 victory over the defensively inept Leicester City.
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Bournemouth vs. Chelsea |
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Bournemouth in the head-to-head at 3.60 (Unibet)
Bournemouth +0.5 at 1.83 (bet365)
Bournemouth have won four of their last five games and they have a respectable 5-4-6 record as the home underdog this season. Chelsea have a poor 5-3-6 record as the away favourite over the last twelve months and they bring a seven-game winless streak into this clash. The Blues have scored just two goals in their last seven games.
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Newcastle vs. Arsenal |
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Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 (bet365)
Over 3.5 goals at 2.63 (bet365)
Newcastle’s last six games went over 2.5 goals and Arsenal’s last ten games went over 2.5. Looking at a higher target, Newcastle’s last three games went over 3.5 goals and eleven of Arsenal’s last thirteen went over 3.5. Arsenal’s key defender, William Saliba, has been out with injury for a while and fellow centre-back Gabriel had to leave the field during their midweek fixture.
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Brighton vs. Everton |
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Note: Brighton have yet to play their midweek fixture against Man Utd at the time of writing.
Draw at 5.30 (Unibet)
Brighton should win this, but there’s no value in the 1.33 head-to-head odds and Brighton will have had three days fewer rest than Everton. The Toffees have gone 1-9-9 away from home over the last twelve months. Had you wagered $1 on the draw for each of those games you would be up $17.05 in profit. Since Brighton were promoted, two of Everton’s five visits to Amex Stadium resulted in a draw. Everton’s last two away games coming into this clash resulted in a draw.