The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Round 9 of the 2023 AFL season.
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At the time of writing the biggest Draftstars contest for this round is a $75,000 competition for the two Friday night games. Entry costs $15 and the top 25% of participants will receive a payout.
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West Coast vs. Gold Coast |
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The injury-hit West Coast Eagles have lost 15 of their last 16 games and their last six defeats were all by 40+ points. They have gone 2-19 as the underdog over the last twelve months and they lost this fixture 80-107 last year to end a long-term winning streak at home against the Suns. The Eagles have covered the line in just 3 of their last 10 home games. Gold Coast continue to be competitive, even in defeat, losing by just 5 points to Melbourne last week. Prior to that they comfortably beat North Melbourne (home) and Richmond (away). The Suns don’t have a great record against West Coast but they have beaten the Eagles both occasions when they were installed as the favourite. I would back Gold Coast in the head-to-head at 1.30 (BlueBet). Six of West Coast’s eight home defeats over the last twelve months were by 25+, so those looking for more risk should consider Gold Coast -21.5 at 1.91 (bet365).
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North Melbourne vs. Port Adelaide |
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North Melbourne have lost six on the bounce and they have gone 1-9 at home over the last twelve months. Eight of those nine defeats were by 25+ margins. Port Adelaide have won and covered the line in each of their last three away fixtures against North Melbourne. Their last two away wins over the Kangaroos were by 117-65 (2021) and 115-46 (at Blundstone Arena in 2022) scorelines. This fixture will again be played at Blundstone Arena, a venue that North Melbourne have gone 1-1-7 at since 2021. Since 2022 North Melbourne have gone 0-4 both in the head-to-head an the line at this venue. Port Adelaide bring a five-game winning streak into this clash. They have gone 8-2 as the favourite over the last twelve months and 1-0 as the away favourite. Port Adelaide have covered the line in seven of their last nine away fixtures against North Melbourne. Five of their last six away wins over the Kangaroos were by 25+ points. I would back Port Adelaide in the head-to-head at 1.20 (BlueBet). Those looking for more risk should consider Port Adelaide 25+ at 1.65 (Unibet).
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Brisbane vs. Essendon |
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Brisbane bring a five-game winning streak into this clash and they return home to the Gabba, where they have gone 13-2 since 2022. The Lions have won and covered the line in each of their last five home games. Essendon bring a three-game losing streak into this clash. The Bombers have gone 2-7 as the away underdog over the last twelve months. They should keep this interesting, however. Essendon have a good away record against Brisbane and eight of their last nine away defeats were by 1-39 points. I would back Brisbane in the head-to-head at 1.25 (Colossalbet, Dabble). Those looking for more risk should consider Brisbane 1-39 at 2.25 (Dabble).
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Carlton vs. Western Bulldogs |
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On paper this should be a good game. The Western Bulldogs bring the better form into this clash and they have won six of the last seven against Carlton as the listed away team, but Carlton should be the more desperate of the two sides and they have covered the line in each of their last six games against the Bulldogs. The Blues have also covered the line in 8 of the last 10 games following a defeat. Over the last twelve months, 18 of Carlton’s 21 games were settled by 1-39 points, including all nine games as the list home side. Nine of the Western Bulldog’s last ten wins over Carlton were by 1-39 points. I would back both Carlton 1-39 at 2.50 (Dabble) and the Western Bulldogs 1-39 at 2.50 (Dabble). Those looking for more risk should simply back the Western Bulldogs 1-39 at 2.50 (Dabble).
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Collingwood vs. GWS |
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Collingwood have gone 12-0 as the home side over the last twelve months, but interestingly, eleven of those wins were by 1-39 points and nine were by 1-24 points. Looking at both home and away games, 18 of Collingwood’s 19 wins over the last year were by 39 points or less. GWS have gone 1-7 as the away underdog over the last twelve months but they have covered the line in each of their last six games against Collingwood. The Giants have also covered the line in five of the last six games as the away underdog against the Pies. Six of the Giants’ eight away defeats over the last twelve months were by 1-39 points and their last seven defeats were by 1-24 points. I would back Collingwood 1-39 at 2.35 (Dabble). Those looking for more risk should consider Collingwood 1-24 at 3.75 (Dabble).