The following are betting tips for selected games in Round 11 of the 2024 AFL season.
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At the time of writing the biggest Draftstars contest for this round is the $60,000 competition for the Thursday night clash between the Western Bulldogs and Sydney Swans. Entry costs $15 and the top 25% of participants will receive a payout.
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Fremantle vs. Collingwood |
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Fremantle are only 2-2 as the home favourite over the last twelve months, while Collingwood boast a 3-1 record as the away underdog. The Pies have won their last three against the Dockers and they have covered the line in their last two away games as the underdog against Fremantle. Collingwood bring 6-1-0 form into this clash. I would back Collingwood in the head-to-head at 2.10 (PlayUp).
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Carlton vs. Gold Coast |
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The staggering stat for the Gold Coast isn’t that they’ve gone 0-9 away from home over the last twelve months, it’s the fact that they’ve also gone 0-9 at the line away from home over the same period. Carlton will be looking to make amends for their poor defeat against Sydney. I would back Carlton in the head-to-head at 1.47 (Betfair).
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North Melbourne vs. Port Adelaide |
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The forecast is clear in Hobart on Saturday. Since 2023, the average total score at Blundstone Arena is 200.0 and North Melbourne’s previous game at this venue this season saw 219 total points. The Kangaroos’ average total score at home this season is 199.0, while Port Adelaide’s average total away from home is 185.0. North Melbourne’s last five home games went over the total and their last five games against Port Adelaide went over the total. Going back further, eight of North Melbourne’s ten home games over the last twelve months went over the total. I would back over 173.5 at 1.91 (bet365).
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Richmond vs. Essendon |
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The injury-affected Richmond limp into this game on the back of six consecutive defeats and the growing scale of those losses is a concern: 7, 39, 43, 54, 91, 119. These scorelines have seen Richmond fail to cover the line in their last five fixtures. Essendon, in complete contrast, bring 5-1-0 form into this clash. The Bombers have a dreadful away record against Richmond but they will relish the chance to put that right this weekend. Essendon have gone 7-0 as the favourite over the last twelve months. I would back Essendon in the head-to-head at 1.10 (Betfair). Those looking for more risk should consider Essendon 25+ at 1.38 (Dabble).
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Melbourne vs. St Kilda |
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This will likely prove to be a good bounce-back game for Melbourne. They have won and covered the line in their last four clashes against St Kilda. St Kilda have gone 1-6 as the away underdog over the last twelve months and the Saints limp into this fixture in 1-5 form. St Kilda have not lost a single away game by 40+ over the last twelve months, while six of Melbourne’s seven home wins were by 1-39 margins, so I would back Melbourne 1-39 at 2.20 (Dabble).