The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 1 of the 2024/25 English Premier League season. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
Be sure to also check out our Premier League 2024/25 season preview with futures betting tips.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com
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Ipswich vs. Liverpool |
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Liverpool in the head-to-head at 1.37 (Unibet)
Liverpool have been impressive in pre-season with four wins from four, including a 2-1 win over Arsenal and a 3-0 win over Manchester United. The players look enthusiastic about the changes brought in by new manager Arne Slot. Ipswich boast an excellent manager, but a number of their squad members were playing League One football two seasons ago, so this is a massive step up.
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Everton vs. Brighton |
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Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 (Betfair)
Featuring the 4th ranked defence but the 19th ranked offence, Everton averaged the lowest average total score last season, with 2.1. To highlight how low that is, the next lowest was Fulham at 2.9. This saw 12 of Everton’s 19 home games go under the total. Both of their fixtures against Brighton last season went under 2.5.
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Arsenal vs. Wolves |
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Over 2.5 goals at 1.53 (bet365)
Last season 14 of Arsenal’s 19 home games went over 2.5 goals. Wolverhampton’s average match total score away from home last season was 3.1. Arsenal’s last four home fixtures against Wolverhampton went over 2.5 goals. Had you backed over 2.5 goals for every Arsenal game last season you would have been in profit. The same can be said had you backed over 2.5 goals for every Wolves away game.
Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.22 (bet365)
Yes, the odds are short, but Arsenal went 16-1-1 from January onward last season. Wolverhampton finished last season in 1-0-5 form and they have a 0-0-6 record against Arsenal over the last three years.
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Newcastle vs. Southampton |
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Newcastle in the head-to-head at 1.37 (Betfair)
This is primarily a bet against Southampton. The Saints managed only the 14th best defensive record in the Championship last season, with 63 goals conceded in 46 games. They went 0-4 against Ipswich and Leicester City last season. Leicester City swatted them aside by 4-1 and 5-0 score lines. Newcastle had the 4th best home record last season.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 (Betfair)
Southampton’s mediocre defensive record in the Championship last season suggests there will be goals this weekend. Newcastle averaged 3.9 total goals last season, which was the highest figure in the league. Newcastle’s last eight home games against Southampton all went over 2.5 goals.
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West Ham vs. Aston Villa |
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West Ham +0.5 at 1.53 (Betfair)
West Ham have gone 6-4-2 as the home favourite over the last twelve months. Over the last decade they have gone 4-5-1 as the home favourite against Aston Villa. Aston Villa have gone 2-2-5 as the away underdog over the last twelve months.
Draw at 3.80 (Unibet)
Five of Aston Villa’s last ten away fixtures against West Ham resulted in a draw. Eight of West Ham’s nineteen home games last season resulted in a draw. Had you wagered $1 on the draw in each of those fixtures you would have been up $12.10 in profit. Similarly, had you wagered $1 on every Aston Villa away game you would have been up $8.47 in profit.
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Brentford vs. Crystal Palace |
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Draw at 3.50 (Unibet)
Five of Brentford’s six fixtures against Crystal Palace since promotion resulted in a draw. This includes all three meetings at Gtech Community Stadium.
1-1 correct score at 7.00 (bet365)
Three of the last four meetings between the two resulted in a 1-1 draw. Palace’s last five draws last season were by 1-1 score lines.
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Chelsea vs. Man City |
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Over 2.5 goals at 1.58 (Betfair)
New Chelsea coach Enzo Maresca has insisted on playing out from the back, which has been a work in progress to put it kindly. Chelsea conceded 4 goals against both Celtic and Manchester City in pre-season. The Blues averaged 3.7 total goals last season, which was second the highest in the league. This saw 27 of their 38 games go over 2.5 goals. Man City, meanwhile, saw 13 of their 19 away games go over 2.5 goals. Had you backed over 2.5 goals on every Chelsea game last season, you would have been in profit. The same can be said if you had backed over 2.5 goals in every Man City game. This fixture last season saw eight total goals.