The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 13 of the 2024/25 English Premier League season. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com
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Brighton vs. Southampton |
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Brighton in the head-to-head at 1.44 (Betfair)
Brighton have Pedro back from injury, which is notable. He was involved in both of Brighton’s goals last week in their win over Bournemouth. The round before that, Pedro was involved in both goals in their win over Man City. The Seagulls have now gone 4-2-0 in games this season in which Pedro has played. Southampton, meanwhile, have made a 1-1-10 start to the season. The Saints have gone 0-0-6 away from home with a -10 goal difference on their travels.
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Wolves vs. Bournemouth |
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Over 2.5 goals at 1.69 (Betfair)
Both Teams To Score: Yes at 1.58 (Betfair)
Wolverhampton have conceded an eye-watering 28 goals in 12 games this season, however they have managed to score 20 as well – only one less than Arsenal. This combination has resulted in high scoring games in which both sides have scored with regularity. Wolverhampton’s average total goals per game this season is 4.0, which is the highest in the league. They now take on Bournemouth, who have averaged 3.0 goals away from home this campaign. Both teams scored in ten of Wolverhampton’s last 11 league games and ten of those games went over 2.5 goals. Four of their last six games went over 3.5 goals. Both teams scored in Bournemouth’s last four games and their last three games went over 2.5 goals.
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Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle |
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Newcastle +0.5 at 1.50 (Betfair)
This is primarily a bet against Crystal Palace, who have failed to win 11 of their 12 games this season. The Eagles have gone 2-2-5 as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Palace remain without Eddie Nketiah and Adam Wharton, while Eberechi Eze is rated as a 50% chance of playing at the time of writing. Daichi Kamada is still suspended. Newcastle suffered an upset defeat to West Ham last week, however they had a superior xG in that game and the Magpies registered 18 shots on goal. Prior to that, Newcastle had beaten Arsenal and Nottingham Forest.
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Brentford vs. Leicester |
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Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 (Betfair)
Brentford’s last three home games resulted in 5-3, 4-3 and 3-2 scorelines. The Bees have the highest average home total score in the league this season, at 4.8. Five of Leicester City’s six away games this season went over 2.5 goals. The Foxes have averaged 3.8 total goals away from home this season, which is the second highest in the league.
Same-game multi: Brentford to win & over 2.5 goals at 2.25 (PlayUp)
In addition to the stats above, Brentford have won their last three home games. Looking back further, the Bees have gone 8-3-1 as the home favourite over the last twelve months. Leicester City, at the time of writing, are without a permanent manager after they sacked Steve Cooper, who had taken over this summer following their promotion-winning campaign with Enzo Maresca.
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Chelsea vs. Aston Villa |
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Chelsea +0.5 at 1.27 (Betfair)
Chelsea 0 (draw no bet) at 1.38 (Betfair)
Both sides will be backing up after midweek European fixtures, however Chelsea’s Conference League fixture against Heidenheim looks a lot less taxing on paper than Aston Villa’s game against Juventus. To Villa’s advantage, however, is the fact that they will be playing their European fixture at home, compared to overseas and a day later for Chelsea. Rather than back the Blues in the head-to-head, I will take them in the Asian Handicap. Chelsea have only lost one of their last 11 league fixtures, and that was away against Liverpool. Aston Villa have only one one of their last seven league games. They looked vulnerable on the counter against an under-strength Crystal Palace last week.