The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Round 6 of the 2025 Super Rugby Pacific season.
To take advantage of the odds before they possibly shorten, these previews are published before the team sheets are announced. Those who are more risk-averse should wait for the squad lists before wagering.
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There are slim picking this week.
For the Highlanders vs. Reds, my first instinct was to back the Reds due to their 31-0 win over the Highlanders last season. The Reds, however, have gone 1-7 at the line away from home over the last twelve months and 0-5 at the line as the away favourite. They have lost five in a row in Dunedin, while the Highlanders have a 2-0 record over the last twelve months as the home favourite. It’s a case of instinct says Reds while the stats suggest Highlanders.
Similarly, for the Blues v Crusaders, my first instinct was to back the Crusaders due to their 3-1 record this season and comfortable home wins over the last two weeks. The Cantabrians, however, are 0-6 away from home over the last twelve months, while the 1-4 Blues will be desperate for a win. The Blues’ last two defeats were each by one point. It’s a case of instinct says Crusaders, while the stats suggest Blues.
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Waratahs vs. Brumbies |
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After making a 3-0 start to the season, the Waratahs were brought back down to Earth with a 35-15 defeat to the Reds in Brisbane. They were clearly the second best team on the day. The NSW side has a 2-8 record on the back of a defeat over the last twelve months. The Brumbies enter this game on the back of an away win over the Blues and a convincing home win over the Fijian Drua. Over the last twelve months the Waratahs have gone 1-8 as the underdog while the Brumbies have gone 9-1 as the favourite. The Brumbies have won 13 in a row against the Waratahs and 8 in a row in Sydney. With all of the above being said. This should be a competitive contest. Eight of the Brumbies’ last nine away wins over the Waratahs were by 1-12 points. Over the last twelve months, all five of the Brumbies’ away wins were by 1-12 margins. The Waratahs, despite a torrid 2024, have only lost one home game by 13+ over the last twelve months. I would back the Brumbies 1-12 at 2.95 (Unibet).