The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 30 of the 2024/25 English Premier League season. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
Note that this article has been published before the FA Cup quarter-finals, which take place the weekend prior. The Premier League teams involved in those games are:
Fulham, Crystal Palace, Brighton & Nottingham Forest (Sat, GMT)
Aston Villa, Bournemouth & Man City (Sun, GMT)
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com
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Arsenal vs. Fulham |
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NOTE: those who are risk-averse should wait for the conclusion of Fulham’s FA Cup quarterfinal fixture before committing – just in case they pick up any new injuries.
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30 (bet365)
Goals have been hard to come by for Arsenal lately, but their defence remains solid. The result has seen their last five games see 2, 1, 0, 2 and 1 total goals. None of Fulham’s last eight games went over 3.5 goals.
Draw at 4.60 (Unibet)
Arsenal should win this, but there’s little value at 1.44 in the head-to-head. Fulham boast an impressive 5-4-3 record as the away underdog over the last twelve months and they have avoided defeat (1-2-0) in their last three matches against Arsenal. Since 2009, half of Arsenal’s home games against Fulham resulted in a draw (5-5-0).
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Nottm Forest vs. Man Utd |
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NOTE: those who are risk-averse should wait for the conclusion of Nottingham Forest’s FA Cup quarterfinal fixture before committing – just in case they pick up any new injuries.
Nottingham Forest +0.5 at 1.40 (Betfair)
Nottingham Forest have gone 12-3-1 as the favourite over the last twelve months, while Man Utd have gone 3-7-8 as the underdog. Forest have already beaten United at Old Trafford this season. Nottingham Forest striker Chris Wood picked an injury whilst playing for New Zealand during the international break, but at the time of writing he’s rated as likely to be fit. Forest scored four times against Ipswich in their most recent fixture and Wood wasn’t one of the scorers.
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Man City vs. Leicester |
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Man City in the head-to-head at 1.18 (bet365)
Man City -1.5 at 1.50 (bet365)
Man City to win to nil at 1.96 (Unibet)
This is simply a bet against Leicester City. The Foxes have lost six games in a row by a combined 16 goals to nil. Looking back further, Leicester City’s last eight defeats were all to nil. Fifteen of Leicester City’s last eighteen defeats were by 2+ goal margins. Nine of City’s twelve home wins over the last twelve months were by 2+ goals.
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Southampton vs. Crystal Palace |
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NOTE: those who are risk-averse should wait for the conclusion of Crystal Palace’s FA Cup quarterfinal fixture before committing – just in case they pick up any new injuries.
Crystal Palace in the head-to-head at 1.72 (Betfair)
Much like the previous pick, this is simply a bet against Southampton. The Saints have lost 11 of their last 12 games. At home they have gone 1-1-12 this season, which is the worst home record in the league. The Saints have lost nine in a row at St Mary’s Stadium. Crystal Palace bring 4-0-1 form into this game and they have won four straight against Southampton. The Eagles have gone 4-0-1 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. While they sit 12th on the table, Palace actually have the 7th best away record this season. Their striker Jean-Philippe Mateta is rated as a good chance of returning from his head injury for this clash. He will be fresh if he isn’t risked in their FA Cup fixture.