The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 32 of the 2024/25 English Premier League season. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com
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Man City vs. Crystal Palace |
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2-2 correct score at 17.00 (bet365)
You’d expect Man City to win this, however the stats indicate that there’s insufficient value on them at 1.54 head-to-head odds. City have gone 9-3-3 at home this campaign, which suggests they should be at 1.67 odds against your average opponent. Crystal Palace, however, have avoided defeat in their last ten Premier League away games. With a 6-5-3, record, they boast the 6th best away record in the division. Palace drew this fixture last season and Man City this campaign have been a shadow of last year’s side. I would need north of 5.00 odds to take the draw (currently 4.50), so I will opt for a higher odds selection and take the 2-2 correct score. Both sides have been involved in four 2-2 draws this season and three of their last ten meetings ended 2-2, including two of the last three.
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Brighton vs. Leicester |
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Brighton in the head-to-head at 1.32 (Betfair)
This is a chance for Brighton to get back to winning ways after back-to-back defeats to Aston Villa and Crystal Palace. They won the xG battle against Palace but conceded the winning goal via a deflected shot. This bet, however, is simply against Leicester City. The Foxes have lost eight consecutive games and they failed to score in all of them. Leicester City have now lost 15 of their last 16 games.
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Nottm Forest vs. Everton |
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Nottingham Forest +0.5 at 1.30 (bet365)
Nottingham Forest have gone 13-3-1 as the favourite over the last twelve months. Everton have been plucky by avoiding defeat in five of their last six games, however they failed to win any of them. Those who are more risk averse should wait to confirm the availability of Forest strikers Chris Wood and Taiwo Awoniyi before backing the hosts.
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Arsenal vs. Brentford |
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Draw at 4.50 (bet365)
This is a situational bet. You’d expect Arsenal to win this, however this fixture is sandwiched between their UEFA Champions League quarterfinal fixtures against Real Madrid. Arsenal are arguably out of the Premier League title race and their Champions League spot for next season is virtually assured, so this fixture is arguably not a high priority. Brentford have avoided defeat in 6 out of 14 games as the away underdog over the last twelve months. They have drawn one of their three previous Premier League fixtures at Emirates Stadium. Arsenal have avoided defeat in 20 of their last 21 league games, but they have drawn an eye-watering 11 Premier League fixtures this season.
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Liverpool vs. West Ham |
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Liverpool in the head-to-head at 1.33 (bet365)
Yes, the odds are short, but Liverpool have won five straight home games and they have won seven on the trot at home against West Ham. Liverpool suffered a shock defeat away to Fulham last week, which should sharpen them up leading into this game.
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Newcastle vs. Man Utd |
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Newcastle in the head-to-head at 1.75 (bet365)
The crucial aspect of this fixture is it sits in between Manchester United’s Europa League quarter-final fixtures against Lyon. United languish in 13th place on the table, so the only way they can play European football next season is through success in the Europa League. Newcastle, meanwhile, sit 5th and are well in the fight for a Champions League spot. The hosts have far more at stake in this fixture than the visitors for this reason. Newcastle have gone 8-1-4 as the home favourite over the last twelve months and in recent seasons they have gone 2-0-0 as the home favourite against Man Utd. United lost their two most recent visits to St. James’ Park and both defeats were to nil. Newcastle bring a three-game winning streak into this clash and they only conceded one goal across those games. They raced out to a 3-0 halftime lead against Leicester City in their previous fixture. This gave them the luxury of substituting Joelinton, Bruno Guimaraes, Murphy and Alexander Isak early on, which has kept them fresh for this fixture. Man Utd’s last three defeats were to nil and they failed to score in their last two games. Newcastle defeated United 2-0 at Old Trafford earlier in the season.
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Bournemouth vs. Fulham |
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Over 2.5 goals at 1.81 (Betfair)
Bournemouth’s last five games went over 2.5 goals Key to that is their last five opponents all scored two goals. Six of Fulham’s last eight games went over 2.5 goals and their last five fixtures against Bournemouth went over 2.5.