The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 35 of the 2024/25 English Premier League season. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
There are only seven Premier League games this weekend due to the FA Cup semi finals.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com
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Aston Villa vs. Fulham |
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Aston Villa in the head-to-head at 1.83 (Betfair)
Aston Villa +0.5 at 1.25 (Betfair)
Aston Villa bring 5-0-1 league form into this clash. Their FA Cup semi-final defeat means they must achieve European football through their league standing, which makes this a must-win game. Villa have won four on the trot against Fulham. The Cottagers have been in indifferent form of late. They lost to Bournemouth and Chelsea, then needed a stoppage-time goal to defeat the relegated Southampton. The +0.5 handicap selection for Villa may look strange, but they are undefeated (8-6-0) as the home favourite over the last twelve months.
Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham correct score at 15.00 (bet365)
For those who enjoy higher odds wagering, three of Aston Villa’s last five wins over Fulham were by 3-1 scorelines.
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Everton vs. Ipswich |
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Draw at 4.00 (bet365, BoomBet, Dabble)
Everton have won just once in their last nine games. The Toffees have a draw-heavy 4-8-5 home record this season and over the last twelve months they have drawn four out of nine as the home favourite. Had you wagered $1 on the draw for every Everton home game over the past year, you would be up $10.33 in profit. Ipswich have managed five away draws this season. They actually boast a stronger away record than home record. Had you wagered $1 on the draw for every Ipswich away game this season, you would be up $7.60 in profit.
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Leicester vs. Southampton |
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Southampton in the head-to-head at 3.00 (betr)
Southampton +0.5 at 1.65 (bet365)
This is a battle to see which of these two relegated teams is worse. I will take the value and back Southampton. Leicester City have lost nine consecutive home games and they failed to score in all nine. Southampton rarely win themselves, but their last victory came away from home against Ipswich and they recently drew West Ham at London Stadium. Leicester City, as the home side, will feel obligated to go out and attack Southampton, which should give the Saints plenty of chances of their own. Southampton have managed to score in six of their last seven games.
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Arsenal vs. Bournemouth |
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Draw at 3.70 (bet365)
Arsenal +0.5 at 1.28 (bet365)
This game is sandwiched between Arsenal’s Champions League semi-final fixtures against PSG. I will back recent history to repeat itself. Arsenal played Brentford at home in-between their quarter-final clashes against Real Madrid and the result was a draw. Draws are the recent why Arsenal failed to win the Premier League this season. They only have three defeats to Liverpool’s two, but the Gunners have been involved in an eye-watering 13 draws. Only Everton (14) have been involved in more stalemates this season. Bournemouth are no strangers to draws either. The Cherries have been involved in 11 drawn games this season and no team has recorded more away draws (7) than they have. Bournemouth’s last three fixtures coming into this game were drawn. For those who are more conservative, the Arsenal +0.5 handicap selection holds appeal. The Gunners have only lost one home game this season and they boast a perfect 7-0-0 record against the Cherries at Emirates Stadium.
Arsenal/Draw HT/FT selection at 15.00 (bet365, betr)
For those who enjoy higher odds wagering, on seven occasions this season Arsenal led at halftime only to draw the game. That’s a frequency or more than once every five games.
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West Ham vs. Tottenham |
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West Ham in the head-to-head at 2.30 (betr)
West Ham +0.5 at 1.47 (Betfair)
Like Arsenal’s game above, this is a situational bet. Tottenham’s Premier League campaign has been an absolute shambles, but they remain in contention to win the Europa League. This fixture is sandwiched between their semi-final fixtures against FK Bodø/Glimt. The winner of that tournament receives a Champions League spot next season, so those games are far more important than this one. West Ham have gone 4-2-2 as the home favourite over the last twelve months, while Tottenham have gone 3-0-10 as the away underdog. Spurs have lost an eye-watering 19 games this season. Only the three relegated sides have lost more than that. Spurs have lost 11 away fixtures, which is two more than the relegated Ipswich.
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Brighton vs. Newcastle |
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Over 2.5 at 1.66 (Betfair)
Brighton’s last eleven games went over 2.5 goals. Their last three went over 3.5 and their last two went over 4.5. Similarly, Newcastle’s last six games went over 2.5 goals. Three of their last four games went over 4.5. Brighton have conceded at least twice in each of their last six games (including against Leicester City!). At the same time, they have scored at least twice in eight of the last ten. Newcastle have scored 3+ goals in four of their last five games.
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Brentford vs. Man Utd |
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Brentford in the head-to-head at 1.71 (Betfair)
This is yet another situational bet. Man Utd have endured a torrid Premier League campaign, but they remain in the hunt to win the Europa League and the Champions League ticket that comes with it. For this reason, their midweek fixtures against Athletic Club are far more important than this. A rotated Man Utd squad wouldn’t surprise me.
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Chelsea vs. Liverpool |
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Liverpool +0.5 at 1.73 (bet365)
This fixture is sandwiched between Chelsea’s UEFA Conference League semi-final fixtures against Djurgårdens IF Fotboll. Liverpool have only lost twice in 34 league games this season. Their last three visits to Stamford Bridge resulted in a draw and the Reds boast a 4-4-2 record as the away underdog against Chelsea in recent decades. Liverpool have avoided defeat in their last seven fixtures against the Blues.
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Crystal Palace vs. Nottm Forest |
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Nottingham Forest in the head-to-head at 3.00 (bet365)
Nottingham Forest +0.5 at 1.63 (bet365)
Crystal Palace are winless in their last four Premier League games and you have to wonder how hungry they will be in the league given they sit comfortably mid table and have the FA Cup Final looming. Nottingham Forest boast an unbeaten 2-3-0 Premier League record against Palace. Forest are still locked in fierce battle for the remaining UEFA Champions League and Europa League spots, which gives this fixture great meaning. Nottingham Forest have been incredibly consistent on the road this season. They have gone 1-2-5 away against sides currently in the top ten and 8-0-0 away against sides currently in the bottom ten.